Cyprus’s political landscape is showing signs of dramatic realignment less than a year before the next parliamentary elections, according to a new poll by IMR for Reporter. The June political barometer puts left-wing AKEL narrowly in first place with 19% of voting intention, overtaking the center-right DISY, which falls to 18%.

More strikingly, DIKO — historically the third force in Cypriot politics and a key partner supporting the current government — has collapsed to just 7%, placing fifth behind the far-right ELAM and the newly formed ALMA party, launched by former Auditor General Odysseas Michaelides. Combined with EDEK (2%) and DIPA (1%), the three parties backing the administration muster a mere 10% in voting intention, an unprecedented low for the government camp.

The poll also highlights the rapid rise of ALMA, which now holds fourth place with 12%, just a single point behind ELAM on 13%. ALMA is drawing significant voter flows from DIKO — around one in five of its previous supporters — as well as from DISY, suggesting deep voter dissatisfaction with established parties.

At the other end of the spectrum, smaller parties such as the Greens and Volt hold on at 3% each, while EDEK and DIPA struggle near the margin of error, raising doubts about their parliamentary survival.

When asked whether, overall, things in Cyprus are moving in the right or wrong direction, 7 in 10 citizens believe the country is on the wrong track. In contrast, 26% feel it is moving in the right direction, while 3% did not express an opinion.

The electorate’s priorities remain focused on economic and social issues, cited by 54% and 42% of respondents respectively, with the Cyprus problem ranking lower at 36%. Candidate competence and personal qualities are also strong voter considerations.

Turnout prospects appear higher than in previous election cycles, with 57% saying they are certain to vote and another 26% leaning toward participation.

If these trends persist, next year’s parliamentary map could look radically different, with AKEL and DISY fighting neck and neck for first place and a fierce battle for third between ELAM and the surging ALMA.