Steep Decline to Near 2-Year Low in HICP in June
In a significant turn of events, harmonized inflation experienced a notable plunge in June 2022, marking the lowest levels seen in nearly two years. The sharp drop is attributed to a substantial reduction in energy prices, according to reports.
The Statistical Service reveals that the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for June 2023 registered a modest increase of 2.8% compared to the same period in 2022. This represents the most marginal growth rate in harmonized inflation since August 2021.
Consequently, when compared to the previous month, there was a mere 0.3% uptick. During the first half of 2023 (January - June), harmonized inflation displayed a 4.9% rise in comparison to the corresponding period last year.
In a breakdown of the figures, the Statistical Service indicates that the most significant fluctuations in June 2023, relative to June 2022, were witnessed in the categories of Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages, which soared by 10.6%, and Transport, which took a notable dip of -7.2%.
A closer look at the data from May 2023 reveals that the most substantial changes were recorded in the categories of Restaurants and Hotels, which rose by 2.8%, and Housing, Water, Electricity, and Gas, which declined by -2.8%.
Examining the period from January to June 2023, in comparison to the same time frame last year, the most prominent alterations were observed in Housing, Water, Electricity, and Gas, boasting an impressive 9.7% surge. Additionally, Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages experienced a robust 8.9% increase, while Restaurants and Hotels saw a notable 7.1% uptick.
On a broader scale, when juxtaposed against June 2022, the categories of Energy and Food-Alcoholic Beverages-Tobacco showcased the most considerable shifts, with declines of -15.4% and increases of 8.9%, respectively.
Furthermore, when removing the impact of excise tax increases, the HICP, and thereby inflation, experienced a mere 0.05% rise during the first half of 2023 (January - June) compared to the corresponding period last year. This is the most minimal annual inflation increase rate recorded for a half-year period since the first half of 2021.
In retrospect, it's worth noting that inflation had surged by 4.75% in the second half of 2022, followed by a 4.36% rise in the first half of the same year, when compared to the corresponding period in 2021.
The latest data indicates a shifting economic landscape with fluctuations in energy prices being a major driving force behind the observed inflationary patterns. As markets and industries navigate these changes, experts are keeping a close eye on future developments to discern potential long-term impacts on consumer prices and overall economic stability.